Abraham: reply rates peak now, then fall to New Year
Nick Abraham says reply and positive reply rates jumped in the last two weeks across about 500K sends, and that the window closes at Thanksgiving. Frank Sondors puts numbers on the LinkedIn half of a multichannel sequence.
Read the whole week in one go496 emails, 7 interested, and a fight over infra cost
Landing in the inbox
Abraham says reply rates peak now and crater after Thanksgiving
Nick Abraham says reply rate and positive reply rate have jumped in the last two weeks across roughly 500K cold emails, and he expects the gain to hold until Thanksgiving. His calendar after that: Thanksgiving to New Year among the lowest reply rates of the year, then a Q1 2027 recovery as new budgets unlock.
Thanksgiving -> New Years: reply rate: some of the lowest throughout the year.
Campaigns and numbers
Sondors: LinkedIn request on day 3 accepted 43.6% of the time
Frank Sondors published the multichannel sequence he says took Salesforge past $3M ARR with six people. Email with a verified trigger on day one, LinkedIn connection request on day three, follow-up in the LinkedIn thread on day five, currently at 10K emails and 4,000 connection requests a week across rotated inboxes.
Back in November, LinkedIn outreach averaged a 52% reply rate.
Workflows and tooling
Berman says credit-metered data kills agent list builds by week two
Alex Berman described a three-part list build that runs unattended: a B2B contact database queried from Claude Code over MCP, email validation chained on the same key, then a webhook on run completion that pushes the file into lemlist.
operators trying the setup on a credit-metered database abandon it by week two